The Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning meet for a pivotal Game 3 on Saturday night.
The pregame narrative: Two games and two blowouts later and we’ve yet to see a competitive 60 minutes of hockey in this series. That said, we’re expecting Game 3 to be close and are backing Toronto on an alternate puck line. Also, bet on Brayden Point and Ryan O’Reilly to be involved.
Check out our best Maple Leafs vs. Lightning same-game parlay picks for April 22.
NHL odds as of 9:41 a.m. on 04/22/2023.
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning same-game parlay picks
Parlay: Maple Leafs +1.5 + Point to record a point + O’Reilly to record a point (+250)
Maple Leafs +1.5 (-315) : The Buds were a really solid road team this season. They posted a 23-13-5 record, had a plus-14 goal differential (10th-best in NHL) and covered this puck line in 30 of 41 games (73.17%).
At a heavily juiced -315, this wager isn’t worth hitting on its own. But we’re happy to take a cautious approach in this SGP. That’s because Tampa has been a wagon at home.
The Bolts were 28-8-5 at Amalie Arena this season with a plus-57 goal differential (second-best in NHL). It’s a tough place to win hockey games but Toronto managed a win and a one-goal loss (4-3 OT, 3-4) in its two games in Tampa.
Lingering injuries to Victor Hedman and Erik Cernak could also put the Lightning on their back foot in this contest. Even if the duo does play, they’ll be banged up.
Other parlay picks
Point to record a point (-250) : Point is coming off a 51-goal, 95-point campaign and he’s shown no signs of slowing down in the playoffs. The 27-year-old has found the scoresheet in both games with two goals and an assist across those contests.
Point has registered a point in eight of his last 10 games dating back to the regular season including each of his past six.
He’s also averaged 1.90 PPG at home the season compared to a much more pedestrian 0.87 PPG on the road.
O’Reilly to record a point (-114) : O’Reilly might no longer be playing top-line minutes but his unit with Matthew Knies and Noel Acciari looked dangerous on Thursday.
That line generated a 61.11 chances for percentage (CF%), the highest of Toronto’s lines, according to NaturalStatTrick. The trio also outshot their opponents nine to one and generated four high-danger chances.
O’Reilly has a point in five of his last six games dating back to the regular season. Expect him to lead the charge for line three tonight.
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